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Al Madina vs Al Malaab El Libby

Libya Libya

Premier League Solyman AL Darrat
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Madina play Al Malaab El Libby in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Madina averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Al Malaab El Libby averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Al Madina won 2, Al Malaab El Libby won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Al Madina and 1.00 for Al Malaab El Libby. This points to a Al Madina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Madina
26%
Draws
33%
Al Malaab El Libby
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Al Madina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Madina picked up more points recently compared to Al Malaab El Libby.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 23%
Al Malaab El Libby Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Madina Al Malaab El Libby
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Malaab El Libby
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Al Madina
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Al Madina
0:1
Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:4
May 22, 2024 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Madina 42 / 100
Al Malaab El Libby 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Madina Al Malaab El Libby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Madina or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Madina attacking → ← attacking Al Malaab El Libby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Madina scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Al Malaab El Libby let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Madina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Malaab El Libby lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380