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Al Madina vs Al Watan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League Solyman AL Darrat, Tripoli
Al Madina Logo

Al Madina

Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Al Watan Logo

Al Watan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Madina host Al Watan in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Al Madina at 1.36 goals for, 1.19 against; Al Watan at 0.97 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Al Madina slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al Madina. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Madina
15%
Draws
51%
Al Watan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Watan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Madina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Madina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al Madina have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 20%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Madina Al Watan
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.36 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Watan
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Madina
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Watan
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Madina
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Madina 36 / 100
Al Watan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Madina Al Watan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Madina scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Watan conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Al Watan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Madina VS Al Watan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Madina

(Home)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 8

Al Watan

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1
Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0
Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Olympic Azzaweya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Madina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Al Khmes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Ittihad Misurata 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Malaab El Libby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Bashaer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Majd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shabab Al Ghar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Watan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Assabah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Shomooa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Nasr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Akhdar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Hilal Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Tahaddi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Darnes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Sharara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Taawun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Sadaqa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Wefaq Ajdabiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Afreeki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Military Union 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Jadida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Batnan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)