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Al Majd vs Shabab Al Ghar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Majd host Shabab Al Ghar in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Majd at 1.1 goals for, 1.21 against; Shabab Al Ghar at 1.03 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Al Majd have won 2 to Shabab Al Ghar's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.81) back Al Majd to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Al Majd
20%
Draws
15%
Shabab Al Ghar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Majd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Majd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Al Majd taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Majd Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al Ghar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Majd Shabab Al Ghar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Al Majd vs Shabab Al Ghar
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ghar vs Al Majd
1:3
Feb 24, 2025 Premier League
Al Majd vs Shabab Al Ghar
1:0
Jan 3, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ghar vs Al Majd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Majd 85 / 100
Shabab Al Ghar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Majd Shabab Al Ghar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Majd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Majd found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Shabab Al Ghar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Majd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Majd VS Shabab Al Ghar
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Majd

(Home)
14 Oct
Al Malaab El Libby
1 : 0
Al Majd
25 Apr
Al Majd
1 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
20 Apr
Al Shomooa
2 : 0
Al Majd
15 Apr
Al Majd
1 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
16 Mar
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al Majd
Page 1 of 6

Shabab Al Ghar

(Away)
13 Oct
Shabab Al Ghar
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Misurata
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Shabab Al Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al Ittihad
4 : 1
Shabab Al Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al Ghar
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Madina 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Al Ittihad Misurata 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Olympic Azzaweya 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
4 Al Ittihad 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Malaab El Libby 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Khmes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Bashaer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Assabah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Al Majd 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Shomooa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Shabab Al Ghar 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
14 Al Watan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Afreeki 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Akhdar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Darnes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 Al Taawun 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Al Sadaqa 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Wefaq Ajdabiya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Ahly Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Nasr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Tahaddi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Military Union 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Jadida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Batnan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Sharara 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)