Sport Picks
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Cup Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
54'
54'
Mohammed I.
68'
68'
Aboutrika A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Markhiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Markhiya carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Al Markhiya a 47% chance of winning this.
- Al Markhiya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Markhiya | Al Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya
1:4
Dec 27, 2023 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya
4:1
Nov 24, 2023 QSL
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 QFA Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Markhiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Aboutrika A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Al Ahli Compare
Top Goalscorer Mohammed I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Markhiya 85 / 100
Al Ahli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Markhiya Al Ahli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Al Ahli conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Al Markhiya found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Al Markhiya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Markhiya VS Al Ahli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Markhiya
(Home) 29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0 Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2 Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Raed
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2 Lusail
05 Apr
Al Markhiya
3 : 4 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahli
(Away) 10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0 Al Sailiya
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0 Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Qatar SC
Page 1 of 7
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1 Al Ahli
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0 Al Ahli
22 Aug
Al Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3 Al Ahli
30 Jul
Al Shabab
3 : 0 Al Ahli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Duhail | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Umm-Salal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Qatar SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lusail | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Waab | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Muaither SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shahaniya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Rayyan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Ahli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Markhiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Kharitiyath | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Mesaimeer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Khor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Bidda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)
