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Al Markhiya vs Al Khor Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hanni S.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Lucao
57' Event
Sarr N.

AI Match Summary

Al Markhiya in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Al Markhiya
15%
Draws
20%
Al Khor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Khor haven't matched Al Markhiya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Markhiya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Markhiya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Markhiya, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Markhiya have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 16%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Al Khor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 QSL 2
Al Khor vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Khor vs Al Markhiya
0:3
Jan 27, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Khor
2:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Khor
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Khor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarr N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Khor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 84 / 100
Al Khor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Al Khor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Markhiya found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Khor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Markhiya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS Al Khor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
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Al Khor

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al-Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
Al-Shahaniya 1
Shamal 0
Umm-Salal -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 1
Al Bidda 3
Muaither SC 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Markhiya 2
Al Khor 1
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Qatar SC 2
Al-Waab 3
Al Mesaimeer 1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan 3
Al-Shahaniya 0
Umm-Salal 2
Al Bidda 0
Muaither SC 3
Al Markhiya 2
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Al-Waab 1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan 4
Umm-Salal 3
Muaither SC 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Final
Al Rayyan 2
Muaither SC 0