Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al Markhiya Logo

Al Markhiya

2 - 1
FT
Al Mesaimeer Logo

Al Mesaimeer

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sanhaji H.
25' Event
Lucao
(Penalty)
32' Event
Junaidi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Markhiya
15%
Draws
27%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Markhiya come out ahead of Al Mesaimeer on wins alone.
  • Al Markhiya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al Markhiya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Markhiya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 19%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Markhiya
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer
1:2
Mar 14, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Markhiya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanhaji H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Junaidi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 85 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Markhiya found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Markhiya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Mesaimeer let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS Al Mesaimeer
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
Page 1 of 6

Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4