Sport Picks
Al Markhiya vs Al Wakra
Qatar
QSL Cup 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
48'
48'
Njie Y.
85'
85'
Berkane R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
20%
9%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Markhiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Markhiya lately — more wins on the board than Al Wakra.
- Model gives Al Markhiya a 71% chance of winning this.
- Al Markhiya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Wakra, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Markhiya | Al Wakra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al Wakra
1:1
Feb 29, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Markhiya
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 QSL
Al Markhiya vs Al Wakra
0:3
Mar 3, 2023 QSL
Al Markhiya vs Al Wakra
0:4
Aug 29, 2022 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Markhiya
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Markhiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Njie Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Al Wakra Compare
Top Goalscorer Berkane R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Markhiya 85 / 100
Al Wakra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Markhiya Al Wakra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Markhiya's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Al Wakra conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Al Markhiya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Al Markhiya VS Al Wakra
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Markhiya
(Home) 06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2 Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Raed
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Raed
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2 Lusail
05 Apr
Al Markhiya
3 : 4 Muaither SC
08 Feb
Al Markhiya
2 : 2 Al Bidda
Page 1 of 3
Al Wakra
(Away) 10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2 Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2 Qatar SC
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1 Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1 Al Wakra
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0 Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1 Al Wakra
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
