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Al Masry vs Smouha

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Ali H.
45'
El Sisi A.
46'
Sub
Ali H. In: Makhlouf M.
Out: Ali H.

AI Match Summary

Al Masry in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Masry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Al Masry
15%
Draws
7%
Smouha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Masry have won more games recently than Smouha.
  • Al Masry are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Masry have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 68%
Smouha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Masry Smouha
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.15 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Masry vs Smouha
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Masry
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 League Cup
Al Masry vs Smouha
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Masry vs Smouha
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Masry
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Masry 95 / 100
Smouha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Masry Smouha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Masry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Masry scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Smouha has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Al Masry went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Smouha's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Masry VS Smouha
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Masry

(Home)
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
08 Jun
Enppi
0 : 3
Al Masry
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0
ZED FC
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Smouha

(Away)
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
20 May
Pyramids
2 : 1
Smouha
05 May
Smouha
0 : 1
Zamalek
27 Apr
Smouha
0 : 1
Al Masry
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