Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Ali H.
45'
45'
El Sisi A.
46'
46'
Sub
Ali H. In: Makhlouf M.
Out: Ali H.
AI Match Summary
Al Masry in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Masry.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smouha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Masry have won more games recently than Smouha.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Al Masry have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 26%
Smouha Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Masry | Smouha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Masry vs Smouha
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Masry
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 League Cup
Al Masry vs Smouha
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Masry vs Smouha
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Masry
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Masry 38 / 100
Smouha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Masry Smouha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smouha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Masry scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Smouha has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Al Masry went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Al Masry VS Smouha
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Masry
(Home) 19 Oct
Al Masry
1 : 1 Abu Qir Semad
11 Oct
Al Qanah
1 : 1 Al Masry
07 Oct
Ceramica Cleopatra
0 : 1 Al Masry
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2 Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1 Al Masry
Page 1 of 7
19 Oct
Al Masry
1 : 1 Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2 Al Ittihad Alexandria
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1 Pyramids
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0 Smouha
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0 ZED FC
Page 1 of 4
Smouha
(Away) 19 Oct
El Gouna
0 : 2 Smouha
12 Oct
Smouha
1 : 0 Ghazl El Mahallah
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1 Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2 Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0 Smouha
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
El Gouna
0 : 2 Smouha
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1 Smouha
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0 Smouha
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0 Smouha
20 May
Pyramids
2 : 1 Smouha
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Modern Sport | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 8 | ZED FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Smouha | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Al Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Enppi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 18 | Abu Qir Semad | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 19 | El Gouna | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)
