Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Masry vs Zesco

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Ngoma S.
41'
Assoumou D.
46'
Sub
Sobhi K. In: El Saadawy A.
Out: Sobhi K.

AI Match Summary

Al Masry in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Masry
15%
Draws
58%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Masry haven't matched Zesco's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zesco's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Zesco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Masry, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 20%
Zesco Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Masry Zesco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Masry vs Zesco
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Al Masry
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Bambo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohsen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zesco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Masry 16 / 100
Zesco 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Masry Zesco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Masry scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Zesco has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Al Masry has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Masry VS Zesco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Masry

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

Zesco

(Away)
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Mines
1 : 2
Zesco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)