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Al-Mergheni vs Al-Merreikh Obeid

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Al-Mergheni and Al-Merreikh Obeid finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Mergheni
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Mergheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh Obeid carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al-Mergheni taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mergheni Al-Merreikh Obeid
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 4 9
Draws 14 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mergheni 85 / 100
Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mergheni Al-Merreikh Obeid

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh Obeid's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Al-Merreikh Obeid conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Mergheni remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS Al-Merreikh Obeid
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151