Sport Picks
Al-Merreikh Obeid vs Hilal El-Fasher
Sudan
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Al-Merreikh Obeid and Hilal El-Fasher finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hilal El-Fasher.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hilal El-Fasher
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hilal El-Fasher come out ahead of Al-Merreikh Obeid on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Hilal El-Fasher's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Merreikh Obeid | Hilal El-Fasher |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.57 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh Obeid vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:3
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
0:2
Feb 3, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
2:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Merreikh Obeid 16 / 100
Hilal El-Fasher 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Merreikh Obeid Hilal El-Fasher
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Al-Merreikh Obeid's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Hilal El-Fasher let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.
Hilal El-Fasher lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Merreikh Obeid VS Hilal El-Fasher
0.86 Goals Scored 1
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 38%
86% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Merreikh Obeid
(Home) 13 Feb
Hay Al Wadi
3 : 2 Al-Merreikh Obeid
08 Feb
Haidob Al Nuhod
4 : 0 Al-Merreikh Obeid
05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3 Hilal El-Fasher
31 Jan
Zamala Ruwaba
1 : 0 Al-Merreikh Obeid
27 Jan
Al Fajr
3 : 0 Al-Merreikh Obeid
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05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3 Hilal El-Fasher
23 Jan
Al-Merreikh Obeid
2 : 2 Hay Al Wadi
19 Jan
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 2 Haidob Al Nuhod
11 Jan
Al-Merreikh Obeid
4 : 1 Zamala Ruwaba
07 Jan
Al-Merreikh Obeid
2 : 1 Al Fajr
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Hilal El-Fasher
(Away) 09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0 Hay Al Wadi
05 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
23 May
Al-Merreikh II
2 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
Page 1 of 7
05 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
23 May
Al-Merreikh II
2 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
16 May
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3 Hilal El-Fasher
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
