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Al-Merreikh vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025 Al Merreikh Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Merreikh play Al-Mergheni in the Premier League 2025. Al-Merreikh are favorites here. Recently, Al-Merreikh averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Al-Mergheni averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Merreikh won 3, Al-Mergheni won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 16, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Merreikh and 1.00 for Al-Mergheni. This points to a Al-Merreikh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Merreikh
39%
Draws
31%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al-Mergheni.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 12 14
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Mergheni
2:1
Oct 8, 2015 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al-Mergheni
3:0
Apr 26, 2015 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al-Merreikh
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 31 / 100
Al-Mergheni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Al-Mergheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Al-Mergheni let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Al-Merreikh went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al-Mergheni lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh VS Al-Mergheni
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151