Sport Picks
Al Merreikh vs Horoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
CAF Champions League Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman 
Match Events
70'
70'
1'
1'
(Penalty)
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Merreikh haven't matched Horoya's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Merreikh taking it.
- Horoya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Horoya Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Horoya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 CAF Champions League
Al Merreikh vs Horoya
1:1
Oct 18, 2026 CAF Champions League
Horoya vs Al Merreikh
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Merreikh 36 / 100
Horoya 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Merreikh Horoya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Merreikh scored in 73% of their last 26 games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Al Merreikh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Horoya has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Merreikh VS Horoya
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Merreikh
(Home) 05 Nov
Sunrise
1 : 1 Al Merreikh
31 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Mukura Victory Sports
28 Oct
Police
0 : 1 Al Merreikh
24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Horoya
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0 Al Merreikh
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Mukura Victory Sports
24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Horoya
05 Sept
Al Merreikh
1 : 0 Power Dynamos
27 May
Al Merreikh
1 : 2 APR
22 May
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 3
Horoya
(Away) 24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Horoya
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0 Al Merreikh
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0 Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0 Horoya
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Horoya
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0 Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0 Horoya
06 Apr
Ashanti GB (SAG)
0 : 0 Horoya
03 Apr
Milo FC
0 : 0 Horoya
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 5
15 de Agosto 1
Simba 9
CFFA 1
Young Africans 8
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 2
APR 0
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 5
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 4
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 3
Maghreb Fez 3
ASEC Mimosas 2
Teungueth 0
Colombe 3
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 3
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 3
Horoya 2
Al Merreikh 1
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 2
