Sport Picks
Al Merreikh vs Kigali FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Rwanda
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Al Merreikh host Kigali FC in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Kigali FC have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Al Merreikh have conceded 0.67 and scored 1.2. Head-to-head, Al Merreikh have won 2 to Kigali FC's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.88, favoring Al Merreikh. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Merreikh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al Merreikh's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Kigali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Merreikh scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Al Merreikh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Kigali FC conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Merreikh
(Home)Kigali FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Kigali FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 8 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Mukura Victory Sports | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Musanze | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sunrise | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 15 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 16 | Rayon Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Etoile de L'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
