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Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Merreikh and Marines finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Merreikh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al-Merreikh
33%
Draws
40%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Marines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marines a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 23%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Marines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Al-Merreikh
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Marines
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 29 / 100
Marines 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marines conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Al-Merreikh scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al-Merreikh stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh VS Marines
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Merreikh

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
17 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 6

Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)