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Al-Merreikh vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026 Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
Al-Merreikh Logo

Al-Merreikh

1 - 0
FT
Marines Logo

Marines

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Merreikh and Marines finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Merreikh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al-Merreikh
20%
Draws
40%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al-Merreikh a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Marines Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Marines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Al-Merreikh
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Marines
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 42 / 100
Marines 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marines conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Al-Merreikh scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al-Merreikh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh VS Marines
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Merreikh

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Al-Merreikh
05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0
Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
Page 1 of 6

Marines

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)