Sport Picks
Al-Merreikh vs Wad Nobawi
Sudan
Premier League 2022/2023 Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman 
AI Match Summary
Al-Merreikh in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Merreikh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Wad Nobawi haven't matched Al-Merreikh's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Al-Merreikh taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al-Merreikh have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Wad Nobawi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Merreikh | Wad Nobawi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 24 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 12 | 14 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 25, 2022 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Wad Nobawi
2:1
Jun 14, 2022 Premier League
Wad Nobawi vs Al-Merreikh
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Wad Nobawi
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Merreikh 36 / 100
Wad Nobawi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Merreikh Wad Nobawi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Merreikh scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Wad Nobawi has conceded goals in 63% of their last 24 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Al-Merreikh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Merreikh VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Merreikh
(Home) 18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0 Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1 Al-Merreikh
05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0 Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1 Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2 APR
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05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0 Power Dynamos
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2 APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1 Kiyovu
07 May
Al-Merreikh
4 : 1 Etincelles
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Wad Nobawi
(Away) 11 Apr
Wad Nobawi
1 : 1 Rabita Kosti
06 Apr
Wad Nobawi
0 : 0 Hilal El-Fasher
03 Apr
Hay Al Wadi
1 : 0 Wad Nobawi
26 Mar
Haidob Al Nuhod
1 : 1 Wad Nobawi
21 Mar
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 1 Wad Nobawi
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03 Apr
Hay Al Wadi
1 : 0 Wad Nobawi
26 Mar
Haidob Al Nuhod
1 : 1 Wad Nobawi
21 Mar
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 1 Wad Nobawi
16 Mar
Tuti
1 : 2 Wad Nobawi
11 Mar
Alamal SC Atbara
1 : 1 Wad Nobawi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 55:12 | 53 |
| 2 | Al-Merreikh | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | 48 |
| 3 | Hay al-Arab | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 32:26 | 45 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 6 | Hilal El-Fasher | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:31 | 38 |
| 7 | Hay Al Wadi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 29:27 | 38 |
| 8 | Alamal SC Atbara | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 24:28 | 35 |
| 9 | Al Shorta | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | 35 |
| 10 | Kober | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Hilal Alsahil | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:28 | 34 |
| 12 | Wad Nobawi | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 20:24 | 32 |
| 13 | Alfalah Atbra | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 21:19 | 29 |
| 14 | Ahli Shendi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 14:26 | 28 |
| 15 | Tuti | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26:38 | 27 |
| 16 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 17 | Al Zoma | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 22:40 | 22 |
| 18 | Rabita Kosti | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:32 | 22 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
