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Al Mesaimeer vs Al Sailiya Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Gama G.
85' Event
Adjaoudi M.
90' Event
Djenidi M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Al Mesaimeer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Mesaimeer
20%
Draws
16%
Al Sailiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Mesaimeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Mesaimeer come out ahead of Al Sailiya on wins alone.
  • Al Mesaimeer are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Al Mesaimeer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Mesaimeer, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Al Sailiya
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.41 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Sailiya
3:0
Mar 6, 2025 QSL 2
Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Sailiya
1:1
Mar 18, 2024 QFA Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer
1:3
Feb 11, 2024 QSL 2
Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Gama G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adjaoudi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Sailiya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 76 / 100
Al Sailiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Al Sailiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Mesaimeer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Sailiya has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Sailiya's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Al Sailiya
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al-Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
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Al Sailiya

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)