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Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

12' Event
Abreu D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Mesaimeer
30%
Draws
51%
Al Waab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Waab have won more games recently than Al Mesaimeer.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Al Waab taking it.
  • Al Waab arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Waab, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 17%
Al Waab Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Al Waab
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab
3:0
Jan 26, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
2:4
Sep 1, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 20 / 100
Al Waab 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Al Waab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Waab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Waab has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Al Mesaimeer remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Al Waab
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
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Al Waab

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al Waab
06 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 2
Al Waab
25 Aug
Al Waab
1 : 0
Al Rayyan 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Al Duhail 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Umm-Salal 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Qatar SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Al Wakra 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Lusail 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Al Waab 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Al Gharafa 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Muaither SC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Al Shahaniya 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Al Rayyan 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Al Sailiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Al Ahli 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Al Markhiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Al Kharitiyath 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Al Arabi (Qatar) 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Al Mesaimeer 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
18 Al Khor 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
19 Al Bidda 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)