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Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

18' Event
Monkez M.
46' Event
Thiam I.
53' Event
Saez M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Mesaimeer and Muaither SC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muaither SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Mesaimeer
15%
Draws
59%
Muaither SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muaither SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muaither SC come out ahead of Al Mesaimeer on wins alone.
  • Muaither SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Muaither SC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
1:3
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiam I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Monkez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 22 / 100
Muaither SC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Muaither SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Mesaimeer scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Muaither SC let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Mesaimeer remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Muaither SC
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al-Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
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Muaither SC

(Away)
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)