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Al Mesaimeer vs Umm-Salal Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Maurer A.
22' Event
Kouassi O.
29' Event
Brimil I.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2 game between Al Mesaimeer and Umm-Salal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm-Salal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Mesaimeer
20%
Draws
57%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umm-Salal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Umm-Salal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Mesaimeer a 23% chance of winning this.
  • Regular QSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Umm-Salal have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 68%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Umm-Salal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Umm-Salal
1:2
Feb 13, 2016 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Mesaimeer
2:0
Oct 17, 2015 QSL
Al Mesaimeer vs Umm-Salal
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Brimil I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Maurer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouassi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 77 / 100
Umm-Salal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Mesaimeer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Umm-Salal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Mesaimeer remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Umm-Salal
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
01 Oct
Al-Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al-Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
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Umm-Salal

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Markhiya 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Al Bidda 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Al-Waab 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Muaither SC 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Al-Kharitiyath 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Al Mesaimeer 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Umm-Salal 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
8 Al Khor 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
9 Qatar U23 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
10 Al-Gharafa 2 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Shamal 2 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
12 Al Rayyan 2 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - QSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - QSL (Relegation)