Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Minaa vs Baghdad

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Samia Y.
Assist: Kisinda T.
72' Event
Samia Y.
78' Event
Samia Y.
Assist: Kisinda T.

AI Match Summary

Al Minaa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Minaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
19%
Baghdad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Minaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Very High Confidence
  • Baghdad haven't matched Al Minaa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Minaa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Baghdad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Baghdad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Baghdad
4:0
Feb 6, 2026 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Minaa
0:0
May 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Baghdad
0:2
Mar 5, 2024 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Minaa
0:1
May 28, 2022 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Minaa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Majji R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Baghdad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 77 / 100
Baghdad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Baghdad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baghdad has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Minaa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Minaa scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Baghdad
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

Baghdad

(Away)
08 Jun
Baghdad
0 : 1
Karbala
02 Jun
Erbil
3 : 1
Baghdad
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Baghdad
0 : 1
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)