Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Minaa vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Minaa host Duhok in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Duhok have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Al Minaa have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Duhok slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.00) point toward Duhok. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
39%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Duhok carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 23%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Duhok
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Duhok
1:1
Jan 9, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Minaa
1:0
Jul 8, 2025 Iraq Cup
Duhok vs Al Minaa
3:1
Jun 17, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Minaa
1:1
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Duhok
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 37 / 100
Duhok 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Al Minaa found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Minaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Duhok
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
26 Aug
Al Minaa
3 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 7 5 2 0 13:5 17
2 Al Zawraa 7 4 3 0 13:3 15
3 Newroz 7 4 2 1 13:4 14
4 Erbil 7 4 2 1 9:3 14
5 Al Naft 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Al Shorta 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
7 Al Golan 7 2 3 2 6:7 9
8 Zakho 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
9 Duhok 7 1 5 1 10:10 8
10 Diyala 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
11 Al Mosul 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
12 Al Minaa 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 7 1 4 2 4:5 7
15 Al Kahraba 7 1 4 2 6:8 7
16 Naft Missan 7 1 4 2 4:8 7
17 Al Talaba 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
18 Karbala 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
19 Al Gharraf 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Al Karkh 7 1 1 5 7:12 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)