Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Darwiche K.
45'
45'
Qasem M.
90'
90'
Yaseen A.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Minaa and Duhok finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Duhok come out ahead of Al Minaa on wins alone.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 23%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Minaa | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Duhok
1:1
Mar 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Duhok
1:1
Jan 9, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Minaa
1:0
Jul 8, 2025 Iraq Cup
Duhok vs Al Minaa
3:1
Jun 17, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Minaa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Minaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Qasem M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Duhok Compare
Top Goalscorer Darwiche K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Minaa 37 / 100
Duhok 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Minaa Duhok
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Duhok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
Al Minaa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Al Minaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Minaa VS Duhok
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Minaa
(Home) 18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Minaa
3 : 0 Al Gharraf
20 Aug
Al Minaa
2 : 1 Zakho
Page 1 of 4
Duhok
(Away) 18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
