Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Mosul vs Al Minaa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mohsen S.
44' Event
Qosim Nassif M.
61' Event
Al Dali A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Mosul and Al Minaa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Mosul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Mosul
20%
Draws
38%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Mosul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Minaa haven't matched Al Mosul's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Mosul's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 68%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mosul Al Minaa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
2:1
Feb 14, 2003 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
4:1
Sep 27, 2002 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mosul Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Qosim Nassif M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mosul 51 / 100
Al Minaa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mosul Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mosul scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Minaa conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Mosul remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mosul VS Al Minaa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mosul

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al-Qassim
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Minaa

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)