Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Mosul vs Al Minaa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mohsen S.
44' Event
Qosim Nassif M.
61' Event
Al Dali A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Mosul and Al Minaa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Mosul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Mosul
30%
Draws
47%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Minaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Minaa haven't matched Al Mosul's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Mosul's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 68%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mosul Al Minaa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
2:1
Feb 14, 2003 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
4:1
Sep 27, 2002 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mosul Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Qosim Nassif M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mosul 46 / 100
Al Minaa 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mosul Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mosul scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Minaa conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Al Minaa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mosul VS Al Minaa
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mosul

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Mosul
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Al Minaa

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)