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Al Mosul vs Duhok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mosul host Duhok in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Mosul at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Duhok at 1.41 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Al Mosul have won 0 to Duhok's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Duhok. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Mosul
20%
Draws
51%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Duhok carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Duhok taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 13%
Duhok Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mosul Duhok
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
3:3
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Mosul
0:0
Jun 12, 2011 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
1:2
Feb 13, 2011 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Mosul
2:1
May 12, 2010 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mosul 14 / 100
Duhok 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mosul Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Al Mosul scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Al Mosul went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Mosul VS Duhok
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mosul

(Home)
29 Oct
Al Mosul
2 : 4
Al Golan
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Erbil
0 : 1
Al Mosul
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 12 8 3 1 19:9 27
2 Al Naft 12 7 4 1 14:5 25
3 Newroz 11 6 4 1 16:4 22
4 Al Shorta 11 5 5 1 12:5 20
5 Al Golan 12 5 5 2 16:12 20
6 Erbil 12 5 4 3 15:8 19
7 Al Zawraa 11 5 3 3 15:9 18
8 Al Minaa 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
9 Duhok 12 3 6 3 19:16 15
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 12 3 6 3 7:8 15
11 Al Talaba 12 3 6 3 13:16 15
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 12 2 7 3 14:13 13
13 Diyala 11 3 4 4 15:16 13
14 Zakho 11 3 3 5 9:15 12
15 Al Mosul 12 3 3 6 13:20 12
16 Al Gharraf 11 2 4 5 6:13 10
17 Al Karkh 11 2 3 6 14:19 9
18 Al Kahraba 12 1 5 6 7:14 8
19 Naft Missan 11 1 5 5 7:15 8
20 Karbala 12 1 4 7 11:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)