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Al Mourada vs Al-Merreikh

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mourada play Al-Merreikh in the Premier League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Mourada averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Al-Merreikh averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Al Mourada won 0, Al-Merreikh won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2019 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Mourada and 1.00 for Al-Merreikh. This points to a Al-Merreikh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Mourada
20%
Draws
38%
Al-Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Mourada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Mourada.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Al Mourada.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2018/2019 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mourada Al-Merreikh
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 6 26
Draws 9 14
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2019 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al Mourada
4:0
Dec 28, 2018 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Al-Merreikh
2:6
Oct 22, 2013 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Al-Merreikh
1:4
Apr 23, 2013 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al Mourada
2:1
Jul 19, 2012 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Al Mourada
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mourada 51 / 100
Al-Merreikh 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mourada Al-Merreikh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mourada scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Al-Merreikh let in goals in 69% of their last 45 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Al Mourada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al-Merreikh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Merreikh
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh1495034:1032
2Al-Khartoum1473421:1524
3Hilal El Obied1454520:1719
4Hay Al Wadi1447312:1619
5Al Mourada1454513:1919
6Alamal SC Atbara1452714:2217
7Ahli Khartoum1426613:1512
8Al-Ahly Merowe1415810:238
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman14101331:1031
2Ahli Shendi1484216:628
3Al Shorta1462618:1720
4Merreikh El-Fasher1445516:1517
5Hay al-Arab1444612:1716
6Al Hilal Kadougli1436513:1615
7Wad Hashim Sennar143657:1415
8Rabita Kosti141677:259