Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mourada play Alamal SC Atbara in the Premier League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Mourada averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Alamal SC Atbara averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Al Mourada won 2, Alamal SC Atbara won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 23, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Al Mourada and 1.30 for Alamal SC Atbara. This points to a Alamal SC Atbara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Mourada
35%
Draws
37%
Alamal SC Atbara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mourada picked up more points recently compared to Alamal SC Atbara.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 19%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mourada Alamal SC Atbara
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 13
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2019 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al Mourada
2:0
Jan 24, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara
0:2
Dec 6, 2018 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara
2:0
Aug 27, 2013 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al Mourada
0:0
Feb 26, 2013 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mourada 29 / 100
Alamal SC Atbara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mourada Alamal SC Atbara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alamal SC Atbara or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Mourada attacking → ← attacking Alamal SC Atbara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mourada scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Alamal SC Atbara let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Mourada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Alamal SC Atbara lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh1495034:1032
2Al-Khartoum1473421:1524
3Hilal El Obied1454520:1719
4Hay Al Wadi1447312:1619
5Al Mourada1454513:1919
6Alamal SC Atbara1452714:2217
7Ahli Khartoum1426613:1512
8Al-Ahly Merowe1415810:238
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman14101331:1031
2Ahli Shendi1484216:628
3Al Shorta1462618:1720
4Merreikh El-Fasher1445516:1517
5Hay al-Arab1444612:1716
6Al Hilal Kadougli1436513:1615
7Wad Hashim Sennar143657:1415
8Rabita Kosti141677:259