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Al Mourada vs Hay al-Arab

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018/2019 game between Al Mourada and Hay al-Arab finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Mourada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Mourada
30%
Draws
34%
Hay al-Arab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Mourada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hay al-Arab carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Mourada a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Mourada have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 20%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mourada Hay al-Arab
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Hay al-Arab
2:0
Sep 10, 2011 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Hay al-Arab
1:1
Apr 25, 2011 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Al Mourada
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mourada 36 / 100
Hay al-Arab 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mourada Hay al-Arab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay al-Arab has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Al Mourada's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Al Mourada remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hay al-Arab
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ahli Khartoum73317:512
2Hay al-Arab73229:911
3Al Hilal Kadougli72419:710
4Alamal SC Atbara73139:810
5Rabita Kosti72325:59
6Al-Ahly Merowe71516:68
7Al Mourada71333:66
8Wad Hashim Sennar71335:76