Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Mahrouq S.
Own Goal
28'
28'
Al Hardan M.
48'
48'
Simoes E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Muharraq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Riffa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Al Riffa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Riffa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 23%
Al Riffa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Muharraq | Al Riffa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 38 |
| Wins | 23 | 25 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Al Riffa
2:1
Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Al-Muharraq
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al Riffa
1:1
May 12, 2025 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al Riffa
1:2
Jan 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Al-Muharraq
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Muharraq Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Hardan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Simoes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Riffa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Muharraq 33 / 100
Al Riffa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Muharraq Al Riffa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Riffa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Muharraq's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Defensive concern: Al Riffa conceded in 66% of 38 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Al-Muharraq stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Muharraq VS Al Riffa
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Muharraq
(Home) 06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0 Al-Muharraq
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2 Al-Muharraq
04 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3 Al-Muharraq
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Al-Budaiya
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al Riffa
11 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al-Ahli
03 Apr
Al-Muharraq
3 : 0 Sitra
Page 1 of 4
Al Riffa
(Away) 15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2 Bahrain SC
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2 Al Riffa
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0 Al-Shabbab
29 Apr
Al-Ahli
2 : 3 Al Riffa
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al Riffa
Page 1 of 8
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2 Al Riffa
29 Apr
Al-Ahli
2 : 3 Al Riffa
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al Riffa
10 Apr
Al Khalidiyah
3 : 4 Al Riffa
04 Apr
Al Khalidiyah
2 : 1 Al Riffa
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al-Hala 2
Aali Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Najma -
Bahrain SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Hidd -
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
TBD -
Al Riffa -
Al-Muharraq -
TBD -
Isa Town 3
Al Reef 2
Al-Shabbab -
TBD -
TBD -
Malkia -
Al-Budaiya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Ahli -
Al-Ittihad 1
Al-Ittifaq 5
TBD -
Sitra -
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah 7
Al-Hala 0
Aali Club 2
Al-Najma 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al-Hidd 0
Manama Club 2
Al Riffa 3
Al-Muharraq 6
Isa Town 0
Al-Shabbab 2
Malkia 1
Al-Budaiya 0
Al-Ahli 1
Al-Ittifaq 2
Sitra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah 2
Aali Club 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Riffa 4
Al-Muharraq 3
Al-Shabbab 0
Al-Ahli 3
Al-Ittifaq 2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al Riffa 4
Al-Muharraq 2
Al-Ahli 1
Final
Al Riffa 1
Al-Muharraq 2
