Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Juninho Piauiense
71'
71'
Frioui S.
90'
90'
Arthur Rezende
AI Match Summary
Al-Muharraq in this King's Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Muharraq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Al-Muharraq have won more games recently than Al-Shabbab.
- Al-Muharraq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Al-Muharraq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Muharraq, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al-Muharraq here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Muharraq | Al-Shabbab |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 23 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab
3:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
0:3
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
1:2
Feb 27, 2025 King's Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Muharraq Compare
Top Goalscorer Juninho Piauiense
1 Goals Assists Leader Frioui S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Al-Shabbab Compare
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Muharraq 95 / 100
Al-Shabbab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Muharraq Al-Shabbab
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Muharraq went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Al-Muharraq's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Al-Shabbab has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Al-Muharraq VS Al-Shabbab
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Muharraq
(Home) 16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2 Al-Muharraq
04 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3 Al-Muharraq
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Al-Budaiya
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al Riffa
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Aali Club
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0 Al-Budaiya
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al Riffa
11 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1 Al-Ahli
03 Apr
Al-Muharraq
3 : 0 Sitra
Page 1 of 4
Al-Shabbab
(Away) 15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0 Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3 Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0 Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0 Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0 Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0 Al-Shabbab
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0 Al-Shabbab
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0 Al-Shabbab
27 Feb
Al-Muharraq
3 : 0 Al-Shabbab
19 Feb
Aali Club
0 : 1 Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah-
TBD-
Umm Al Hassam0
Al-Hala2
Aali Club-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Najma-
Bahrain SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Hidd-
East Riffa1
Manama Club2
TBD-
Al Riffa-
Al-Muharraq-
TBD-
Isa Town3
Al Reef2
Al-Shabbab-
TBD-
TBD-
Malkia-
Al-Budaiya-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Ahli-
Al-Ittihad1
Al-Ittifaq5
TBD-
Sitra-
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah7
Al-Hala0
Aali Club2
Al-Najma0
Bahrain SC1
Al-Hidd0
Manama Club2
Al Riffa3
Al-Muharraq6
Isa Town0
Al-Shabbab2
Malkia1
Al-Budaiya0
Al-Ahli1
Al-Ittifaq2
Sitra0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
Bahrain SC1
Al Riffa4
Al-Muharraq3
Al-Shabbab0
Al-Ahli3
Al-Ittifaq2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Riffa4
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Ahli1
Final
Al Riffa1
Al-Muharraq2
