Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup
Al-Muharraq Logo

Al-Muharraq

3 - 0
FT
Al-Shabbab Logo

Al-Shabbab

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Juninho Piauiense
71' Event
Frioui S.
90' Event
Arthur Rezende
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al-Muharraq
15%
Draws
36%
Al-Shabbab
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Muharraq have won more games recently than Al-Shabbab.
  • Al-Muharraq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al-Muharraq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Muharraq, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Muharraq here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Al-Shabbab
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 24 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab
3:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
0:3
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
1:2
Feb 27, 2025 King's Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho Piauiense
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frioui S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Shabbab Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 95 / 100
Al-Shabbab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Al-Shabbab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Muharraq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Muharraq scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Al-Shabbab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al-Shabbab has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Al-Shabbab
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
Page 1 of 8

Al-Shabbab

(Away)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al-Hala 2
Aali Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Najma -
Bahrain SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Hidd -
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
TBD -
Al Riffa -
Al-Muharraq -
TBD -
Isa Town 3
Al Reef 2
Al-Shabbab -
TBD -
TBD -
Malkia -
Al-Budaiya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Ahli -
Al-Ittihad 1
Al-Ittifaq 5
TBD -
Sitra -
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah 7
Al-Hala 0
Aali Club 2
Al-Najma 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al-Hidd 0
Manama Club 2
Al Riffa 3
Al-Muharraq 6
Isa Town 0
Al-Shabbab 2
Malkia 1
Al-Budaiya 0
Al-Ahli 1
Al-Ittifaq 2
Sitra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah 2
Aali Club 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Riffa 4
Al-Muharraq 3
Al-Shabbab 0
Al-Ahli 3
Al-Ittifaq 2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al Riffa 4
Al-Muharraq 2
Al-Ahli 1
Final
Al Riffa 1
Al-Muharraq 2