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Al-Muharraq vs Bahrain SC

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bassam S.
10' Event
Juninho Piauiense
13' Event
Simoes E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Muharraq and Bahrain SC finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al-Muharraq
15%
Draws
0%
Bahrain SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Muharraq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al-Muharraq a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Muharraq have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Bahrain SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Bahrain SC
7:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Muharraq
0:2
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Muharraq
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Bahrain SC
7:2
Jan 17, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Al-Muharraq
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Simoes E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bassam S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bahrain SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 95 / 100
Bahrain SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Bahrain SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahrain SC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain SC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al-Muharraq's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Bahrain SC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Aali Club
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2
Al-Muharraq
04 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al-Muharraq
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Bahrain SC

(Away)
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al-Najma
03 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 4
Malkia
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2
Al-Ahli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)