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Al-Muharraq vs Bahrain SC

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bassam S.
10' Event
Juninho Piauiense
13' Event
Simoes E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Muharraq and Bahrain SC finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al-Muharraq
15%
Draws
0%
Bahrain SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Muharraq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al-Muharraq a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Muharraq have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Bahrain SC
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 23 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Bahrain SC
7:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Muharraq
0:2
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Muharraq
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Bahrain SC
7:2
Jan 17, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Al-Muharraq
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Simoes E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bassam S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bahrain SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 95 / 100
Bahrain SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Bahrain SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Muharraq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahrain SC conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain SC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al-Muharraq's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Bahrain SC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
Page 1 of 8

Bahrain SC

(Away)
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al-Najma
03 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 4
Malkia
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2
Al-Ahli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)