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Al-Muharraq vs Manama Club

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Bruno Santos
39' Event
Arthur Rezende
61' Event
Hadji Z.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Muharraq and Manama Club finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al-Muharraq
20%
Draws
29%
Manama Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manama Club haven't matched Al-Muharraq's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Al-Muharraq taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Muharraq here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 20%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Manama Club
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 23 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Manama Club
3:1
May 7, 2025 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al-Muharraq
1:6
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Manama Club
3:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al-Muharraq
0:3
Dec 1, 2023 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Manama Club
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho Piauiense
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arthur Rezende
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Manama Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 58 / 100
Manama Club 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Manama Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Muharraq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Al-Muharraq scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Manama Club let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Al-Muharraq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Manama Club
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al-Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Aali Club
Page 1 of 8

Manama Club

(Away)
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Al Riffa 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3 Al-Ittifaq 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Sitra 3 1 2 0 3:0 5
5 Al-Ahli 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
6 Al-Hidd 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
7 Al-Muharraq 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Aali Club 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 East Riffa 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Al-Najma 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
11 Manama Club 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
12 Malkia 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)