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Al Murooj SC vs Al Ansar

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Murooj SC play Al Ansar in the Premier League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Murooj SC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Al Ansar averaged 0.95 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Al Murooj SC won 1, Al Ansar won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Al Murooj SC and 1.19 for Al Ansar. This points to a Al Murooj SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Murooj SC
16%
Draws
38%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Al Murooj SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Murooj SC picked up more points recently compared to Al Ansar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Murooj SC Al Ansar
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Murooj SC
1:1
May 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Al Ansar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Murooj SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuach Yuel V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Ansar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Murooj SC 45 / 100
Al Ansar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Murooj SC Al Ansar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Murooj SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Murooj SC attacking → ← attacking Al Ansar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Murooj SC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al Ansar let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Al Murooj SC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Ansar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 22
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00