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Al Naft vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Naft host Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Al Naft have conceded 0.71 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Al Naft have won 0 to Al Quwa Al Jawiya's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.88, favoring Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Al Naft
20%
Draws
23%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Naft's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 20%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft
0:0
Dec 23, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 85 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Naft scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Al Naft remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
08 Nov
Al Shorta
2 : 1
Al Naft
29 Oct
Al Naft
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
22 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Naft
17 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Zakho
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
Page 1 of 7

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
02 Nov
Al Wasl
4 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
29 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Minaa
26 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)