Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Naft vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Al Naft Logo

Al Naft

1 - 1
FT
Duhok Logo

Duhok

Our Tip

Match Events

88'
Kareem W.
90' Event
Razzaq K.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Gwargis P.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Naft
35%
Draws
28%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Naft haven't matched Duhok's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%
Duhok Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Duhok
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.68 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Duhok
1:1
May 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Duhok
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Naft
0:0
May 6, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Duhok
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Naft
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 41 / 100
Duhok 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Al Naft went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Naft scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Duhok
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
20 Aug
Naft Missan
0 : 0
Al Naft
14 Aug
Al Naft
2 : 0
Al Karkh
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
22 Aug
Duhok
3 : 3
Al Talaba
16 Aug
Duhok
1 : 1
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)