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Al Naft vs Duhok Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hammood Y.
Assist: Majji R.
84' Event
Khalaf H.
Assist: Adnan M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Naft and Duhok finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Naft
35%
Draws
24%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Naft come out ahead of Duhok on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Naft's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%
Duhok Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Duhok
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Duhok
1:1
May 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Duhok
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Naft
0:0
May 6, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Duhok
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Naft
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaf H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammood Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 50 / 100
Duhok 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Naft stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Naft found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Duhok
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)