Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nahda vs Saham

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
01:35 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Al Nahda at 1.34 goals for, 1.03 against; Saham at 0.77 for, 1.65 against. Head-to-head, Al Nahda have won 1 to Saham's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.19) back Al Nahda to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Nahda
20%
Draws
28%
Saham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nahda lately — more wins on the board than Saham.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Al Nahda taking it.
  • Al Nahda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 20%
Saham Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Saham
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.34 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Professional League
Saham vs Al Nahda
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Saham
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Saham
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Saham
2:2
Jan 28, 2025 Sultan Cup
Saham vs Al Nahda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 49 / 100
Saham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Saham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Nahda found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (38 games).

Saham has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Saham
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
19 Aug
Al Nahda
3 : 1
Al-Msnaa
Page 1 of 8

Saham

(Away)
10 Sept
Ibri
1 : 2
Saham
05 Sept
Saham
1 : 0
Bahla
31 Aug
Al-Samail
1 : 0
Saham
25 Aug
Saham
0 : 1
Al Seeb
19 Aug
Sohar
2 : 1
Saham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Oman Club 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Dhofar 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Fanja SC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
5 Sur Club 2 0 1 1 2:7 1
6 Al Nasr 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Al-Samail 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sohar 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Al Nahda 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 Al Seeb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 Al-Shabab 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
5 Saham 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
6 Al-Msnaa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Ibri 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)