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Al Nahda vs Sur Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nahda host Sur Club in the Professional League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sur Club have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Al Nahda have conceded 1.02 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Al Nahda have won 4 to Sur Club's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.25) point toward Al Nahda. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Nahda
30%
Draws
35%
Sur Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nahda lately — more wins on the board than Sur Club.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nahda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 19%
Sur Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Sur Club
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 18 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Sur Club
3:2
Mar 17, 2026 Professional League
Sur Club vs Al Nahda
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Sultan Cup
Al Nahda vs Sur Club
4:2
Jan 3, 2026 Sultan Cup
Sur Club vs Al Nahda
0:2
Oct 29, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Sur Club
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 49 / 100
Sur Club 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Sur Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Al Nahda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Nahda scored in 73% of their last 41 outings.

Sur Club has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Sur Club
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
14 Oct
Al Faisaly Amman
2 : 0
Al Nahda
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 9

Sur Club

(Away)
10 Oct
Saham
1 : 0
Sur Club
24 Sept
Oman Club
1 : 2
Sur Club
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al Samail
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
06 Sept
Al Seeb
2 : 0
Sur Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Saham 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
3 Al Seeb 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Al Nahda 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
5 Al Shabab 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
6 Oman Club 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Ibri 4 1 2 1 5:2 5
8 Sohar 4 1 2 1 2:4 5
9 Al Samail 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
10 Al Msnaa 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
11 Bahla 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Dhofar 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
13 Fanja SC 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
14 Sur Club 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)