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Stadium Background

Al Nairea vs Al-Kawkab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Nairea and Al-Kawkab finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Kawkab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Nairea
35%
Draws
15%
Al-Kawkab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nairea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nairea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Nairea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Nairea Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Kawkab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nairea Al-Kawkab
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 2
Al-Kawkab vs Al Nairea
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Division 2
Al Nairea vs Al-Kawkab
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nairea 67 / 100
Al-Kawkab 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nairea Al-Kawkab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nairea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nairea scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al-Kawkab has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Al Nairea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nairea VS Al-Kawkab
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nairea

(Home)
07 Apr
Al Nairea
3 : 1
Al Gottah
04 Apr
Al-Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al Nairea
3 : 2
Al Qous
13 Mar
Arar
2 : 3
Al Nairea
06 Mar
Al Nairea
0 : 2
Al Saqer
Page 1 of 6

Al-Kawkab

(Away)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al-Kawkab
04 Apr
Al-Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al-Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al-Kawkab
06 Mar
Al-Kawkab
2 : 2
Al Qous
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)