Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Najaf vs Al-Hudod Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Hussein D.
67'
Antwi D.
76' Event
Hussein D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Al Najaf and Al-Hudod finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Najaf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Najaf
15%
Draws
48%
Al-Hudod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Hudod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Hudod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Najaf taking it.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Najaf have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Najaf Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najaf Al-Hudod
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.91 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al-Hudod
3:1
Nov 7, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Najaf
0:1
Jun 18, 2024 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al-Hudod
1:0
Feb 19, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Najaf
0:3
May 29, 2023 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al-Hudod
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najaf Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamood Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Hudod Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najaf 51 / 100
Al-Hudod 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najaf Al-Hudod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Al Najaf scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Najaf stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najaf VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najaf

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 7

Al-Hudod

(Away)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)