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Match Events
39'
39'
45'
45'
76'
76'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Al-Najma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Najma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al-Najma come out ahead of Al-Ittihad on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Al-Najma's way, sitting at 90%.
- Al-Najma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Najma, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al-Najma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Najma | Al-Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
4:0
Dec 9, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
1:2
Jan 2, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
2:0
Oct 27, 2018 King's Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Najma
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Najma 95 / 100
Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Najma Al-Ittihad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Ittihad has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Away concern: Al-Ittihad has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Al-Najma scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al-Najma VS Al-Ittihad
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Najma
(Home) 30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2 Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3 Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1 Al-Ittihad
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3 Al Khalidiyah
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3 Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2 Manama Club
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1 Al-Ittihad
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3 Al Khalidiyah
04 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3 Al-Muharraq
16 Apr
Al-Najma
1 : 2 Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 4
Al-Ittihad
(Away) 30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1 Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0 Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1 Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5 Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3 Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0 Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1 Al-Ittihad
27 May
Malkia
3 : 1 Al-Ittihad
23 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1 Al-Ittihad
30 Dec
Al Khalidiyah
4 : 0 Al-Ittihad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Shabbab | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Khalidiyah | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:4 | 11 |
| 3 | East Riffa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:14 | 6 |
| 5 | Tadamun Buri | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Ittifaq | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manama Club | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Al-Hidd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Bouri | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Ali CSC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Hala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Al Reef | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Riffa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Malkia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Budaiya | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Al-Najma | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Sitra | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 0 |
| 6 | Al-Ittihad | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Muharraq | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Busaiteen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Ahli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Isa Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Bahrain SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 6 | Qalali | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)