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Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Hassan M.
58' Event
Hadji Z.
77'
Gbobie F. C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Najma and Al-Ittihad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Najma
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Najma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Najma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al-Najma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
4:0
Dec 9, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
1:2
Jan 2, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
2:0
Oct 27, 2018 King's Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Najma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadji Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Al-Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 95 / 100
Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Al-Ittihad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al-Ittihad's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al-Najma scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Al-Ittihad
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Najma33008:39
2Manama Club32016:36
3Al-Budaiya31021:43
4Al-Ittihad30031:60