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Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Al Najma Logo

Al Najma

2 - 1
FT
Al Ittihad Logo

Al Ittihad

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Hassan M.
58' Event
Hadji Z.
77'
Gbobie F. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Najma and Al Ittihad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Najma
15%
Draws
0%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Najma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Najma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Najma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najma Al Ittihad
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
4:0
Dec 9, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
1:2
Jan 2, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
2:0
Oct 27, 2018 King's Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Najma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadji Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 95 / 100
Al Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najma Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Ittihad's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al Najma scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najma VS Al Ittihad
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najma

(Home)
11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
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Al Ittihad

(Away)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al Ittihad
21 May
Al Najma
2 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Jan
Al Ittihad
1 : 5
Al Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al Ittihad
2 : 3
Al Budaiya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Najma 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Manama Club 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Al Budaiya 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Al Ittihad 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
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