Sport Picks
Al Najma vs Al Jabalain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Division 1 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah 
Match Events
33'
33'
Akanbi R.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Marri M. In: Al Shaekh M.
Out: Al Marri M.
60'
60'
Sub
Khalifah M. In: Al Roqi S.
Out: Khalifah M.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Al Najma and Al Jabalain finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Jabalain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Jabalain carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 19%
Al Jabalain Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Jabalain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Jabalain
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Jabalain
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Najma
1:0
Apr 24, 2024 Division 1
Al Jabalain vs Al Najma
0:2
Dec 5, 2023 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Jabalain
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Najma Compare
Top Goalscorer Novais J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Al Jabalain Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Mutairi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Najma 36 / 100
Al Jabalain 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Najma Al Jabalain
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Jabalain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Najma scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Al Najma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Al Jabalain has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Najma VS Al Jabalain
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Najma
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1 Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0 Al Najma
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
22 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 1 Al Jandal
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0 Al Shabab
Page 1 of 4
Al Jabalain
(Away) 20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0 Al Orubah
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1 Al Jabalain
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0 Al Wehda
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0 Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1 Al Jabalain
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
23 Aug
Al Ula
3 : 1 Al Jabalain
18 May
Al Diriyah
3 : 0 Al Jabalain
14 May
Al Wehda
0 : 1 Al Jabalain
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Zulfi | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Taee | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Al Anwar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Damac | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Wehda | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Adalah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Jeddah Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Al Saqer | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Najma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Orubah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 13 | Al Raed | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Hajer | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Al Jandal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Bukiryah | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
