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Al Najma vs Damac Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
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Match Events

11'
Boutobba B.
28'
Al Salkhadi M.
45'
Rabei H.

AI Match Summary

Damac in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Damac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Najma
35%
Draws
43%
Damac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Damac have won more games recently than Al Najma.
  • Model gives Al Najma a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 20%
Damac Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najma Damac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Damac
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Najma
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 King Cup
Al Najma vs Damac
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 King Cup
Al Najma vs Damac
2:0
May 5, 2011 Division 1
Al Najma vs Damac
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Felippe Cardoso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Damac Compare

Top Goalscorer Meite Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vada V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 36 / 100
Damac 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najma Damac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Najma scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Al Najma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najma VS Damac
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0
Al Najma
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Damac

(Away)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)