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Al Najoom vs Al Kawkab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2
Al Najoom Logo

Al Najoom

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:10 PM
Al Kawkab Logo

Al Kawkab

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Najoom host Al Kawkab in the Division 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Kawkab have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Al Najoom have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Al Najoom have won 0 to Al Kawkab's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2021, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Al Kawkab. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Najoom
35%
Draws
18%
Al Kawkab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Najoom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kawkab carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Najoom's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Najoom Clean Sheet 18%
Al Kawkab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najoom Al Kawkab
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 20 7
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2021 Division 1
Al Kawkab vs Al Najoom
2:0
Nov 18, 2020 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Al Kawkab
0:0
Aug 17, 2020 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Al Kawkab
1:1
Nov 13, 2019 Division 1
Al Kawkab vs Al Najoom
0:0
Apr 2, 2019 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Al Kawkab
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najoom 67 / 100
Al Kawkab 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najoom Al Kawkab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najoom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kawkab let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Al Najoom's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Najoom has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Najoom VS Al Kawkab
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najoom

(Home)
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Al Najoom
1 : 0
Al Jeel
28 Mar
Al Sadd
1 : 2
Al Najoom
14 Mar
Al Najoom
2 : 2
Al Sahel
07 Mar
Al Sharq
0 : 0
Al Najoom
Page 1 of 6

Al Kawkab

(Away)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al Kawkab
04 Apr
Al Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al Kawkab
06 Mar
Al Kawkab
2 : 2
Al Qous
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hottain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Taraji 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Safa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Wej Sports Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Batin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Al Ain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Sahel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Afief 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Arar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Mudhar Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Qalah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Nairea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Gottah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Rayan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Al Qwarah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Baish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Najran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Shoalah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Kawkab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Najoom 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Washm 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Al Jubail 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Sharq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Rawdhah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Entesar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Hada 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Jubbah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Jerash 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Loa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Al Qous 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Qilwah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)