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Al Nasr vs Ajman

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
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Match Events

26' Event
Hrustic A.
Assist: Petrovic D.
31'
Marin M.
41'
Azaro W.

AI Match Summary

Ajman in this UAE League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Nasr
20%
Draws
51%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajman have won more games recently than Al Nasr.
  • Win probability leans Ajman's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 14%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Ajman
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ajman
1:2
May 15, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Nasr
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ajman
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Nasr
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ajman
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrustic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaro W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 27 / 100
Ajman 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ajman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Nasr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Ajman
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Wahda
14 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
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Ajman

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)