Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League Martyrs of February Stadium

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr host Al Akhdar in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Nasr have averaged 1.63 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Al Akhdar's 1.13 scored and 0.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Nasr have won 1 to Al Akhdar's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Al Nasr. Al Nasr in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Al Nasr

30%

Draws

34%

Al Akhdar

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Al Nasr has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Akhdar.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Al Nasr.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%

Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Nasr	Al Akhdar
Matches Played	31	34
Wins	18	17
Draws	8	12
Losses	5	5
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League

Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Apr 22, 2026 Premier League

Al Nasr vs Al Akhdar

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Feb 4, 2026 Premier League

Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

Jun 19, 2025 Premier League

Al Nasr vs Al Akhdar

Possession: 40% - 60% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Apr 28, 2025 Premier League

Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 36 / 100

Al Akhdar 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Nasr Al Akhdar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Al Akhdar let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Akhdar lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Akhdar

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0