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Al Nasr vs Al Wasl

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
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Match Events

7' Event
Santos J.
Assist: Mierez R.
20'
Mierez R.
36'
Faiz I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
41%
Al Wasl
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Wasl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wasl have won more games recently than Al Nasr.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Al Wasl taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Wasl have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Wasl
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 12 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Wasl
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Al Nasr
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Wasl
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Al Nasr
3:1
Jun 2, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Wasl
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja Hernandez M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 22 / 100
Al Wasl 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Wasl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Al Wasl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Nasr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Wasl
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Wahda
14 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
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Al Wasl

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)