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Al Nasr vs Bani Yas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Presidents Cup Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Bani Yas have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Al Nasr have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Al Nasr have won 2 to Bani Yas's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring Al Nasr. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Nasr
20%
Draws
28%
Bani Yas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nasr have won more games recently than Bani Yas.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Nasr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bani Yas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 18%
Bani Yas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Bani Yas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:2
Jan 2, 2026 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Nasr
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Nasr
0:0
Aug 29, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 85 / 100
Bani Yas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Bani Yas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bani Yas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Bani Yas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
17 Oct
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Hatta
13 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 0
Al Riffa
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
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Bani Yas

(Away)
16 Oct
Bani Yas
0 : 2
Al Wasl
09 Oct
Ajman
1 : 0
Bani Yas
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Al Jazira -
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Ajman -
Al Wasl -
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Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
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Al Ain -
Gulf United 2
Al Fujairah 4
Al Jazira Hamra 1
Forte Virtus 0
Al Bataeh 0
Palm City 2
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Dibba Al Hisn -
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Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
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Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
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Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
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Al Arabi (UAE) 3
Emirates Club 2
Al Hamriyah 1
Al Thaid 2
Dibba Al Fujairah 1
Al Ittifaq 3
Al Urooba 1
Dubai City 0
Hatta -
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United FC -
1/32-finals
Al Jazira -
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Ajman -
Al Wasl -
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Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
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Al Ain -
Al Fujairah 4
Al Jazira Hamra 1
Palm City 1
Dibba Al Hisn 2
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Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
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Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
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Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
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Al Arabi (UAE) 2
Al Thaid 0
Al Ittifaq 1
Al Urooba 2
Hatta -
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United FC -
1/16-finals
Al Jazira -
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Ajman -
Al Wasl -
TBD -
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Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ain -
Al Fujairah 2
Dibba Al Hisn 1
TBD -
Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
TBD -
TBD -
Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
TBD -
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Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
TBD -
Al Arabi (UAE) 0
Al Urooba 2
Hatta -
TBD -
TBD -
United FC -
1/8-finals
Al Jazira -
Ajman -
Al Wasl -
Ittihad Kalba -
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai -
Al Ain -
Al Fujairah -
Al Wahda -
Al Nasr -
Bani Yas -
Khorfakkan -
Al Dhafra -
Al Sharjah -
Al Urooba -
Hatta -
United FC -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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