Sport Picks

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Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
02:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr host Ittihad Kalba in the UAE League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Al Nasr at 1.63 goals for, 1.25 against; Ittihad Kalba at 1.25 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Al Nasr have won 4 to Ittihad Kalba's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.25) back Al Nasr to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Nasr
6%
Draws
4%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Ittihad Kalba on wins alone.
  • Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 19%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Nasr
0:1
May 19, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Nasr
2:3
Jan 10, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
3:2
Apr 26, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 85 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Ittihad Kalba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Ittihad Kalba
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
20 Jul
Al Sailiya
0 : 4
Al Nasr
15 May
Ajman
2 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 Apr
Al Nasr
3 : 2
Al Jazira
Page 1 of 7

Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
15 May
Al Wasl
2 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
11 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
05 May
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0
Khorfakkan
23 Apr
Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2
Bani Yas
09 Apr
Al Wahda
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Jazira00000:00
2Al Wahda00000:00
3Al Sharjah00000:00
4Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai00000:00
5Al Ain00000:00
6Ajman00000:00
7Al Dhafra00000:00
8Khorfakkan00000:00
9Al Nasr00000:00
10Al Wasl00000:00
11Bani Yas00000:00
12Ittihad Kalba00000:00
13Hatta00000:00
14United FC00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)