Sport Picks
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
United Arab Emirates
UAE League Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai 
Match Events
7'
7'
Jovic N.
Assist: Carlos Alberto
13'
13'
Hoibraaten M.
14'
14'
Rashid W.
AI Match Summary
The UAE League game between Al Nasr and Ittihad Kalba finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Ittihad Kalba on wins alone.
- Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Nasr | Ittihad Kalba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
2:2
May 11, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Nasr
0:1
May 19, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Nasr
2:3
Jan 10, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Nasr Compare
Top Goalscorer Toure A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Ittihad Kalba Compare
Top Goalscorer Jovic N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Nasr 85 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Nasr Ittihad Kalba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Nasr found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Ittihad Kalba has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Al Nasr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Nasr VS Ittihad Kalba
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Nasr
(Home) 20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1 United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1 Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2 Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1 Al Nasr
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0 Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1 United FC
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2 Ajman
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0 Al Wahda
14 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 2 Ittihad Kalba
11 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 3
Ittihad Kalba
(Away) 19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1 Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3 Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3 Al Wasl
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3 Ittihad Kalba
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
14 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 2 Ittihad Kalba
15 May
Al Wasl
2 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
11 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Jazira | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Ain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Al Wasl | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Ajman | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Wahda | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Sharjah | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 8 | United FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Nasr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Ittihad Kalba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 11 | Khorfakkan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Dhafra | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 13 | Hatta | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Bani Yas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
